Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000037 0.000039 0.000042 0.000044 0.000047 0.000050 0.000053
2025-08-31 0.000034 0.000037 0.000041 0.000045 0.000050 0.000055 0.000061
2025-09-07 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000066
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000033 0.000038 0.000044 0.000050 0.000058 0.000069
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000059 0.000071
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072
2025-10-05 0.000023 0.000028 0.000033 0.000040 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073
2025-10-12 0.000022 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000075
2025-10-19 0.000021 0.000026 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079
2025-10-26 0.000021 0.000026 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083
2025-11-02 0.000020 0.000025 0.000031 0.000040 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088
2025-11-09 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000066 0.000089
2025-11-16 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000090
2025-11-23 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000051 0.000069 0.000096
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000052 0.000071 0.000101
2025-12-07 0.000017 0.000021 0.000028 0.000037 0.000051 0.000070 0.000101
2025-12-14 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000050 0.000070 0.000102
2025-12-21 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000049 0.000069 0.000102
2025-12-28 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000034 0.000048 0.000068 0.000102
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000047 0.000068 0.000104
2026-01-11 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000070 0.000107
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000072 0.000113
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000050 0.000075 0.000119